France · 2027 presidential poll
IFOP — June 24, 2026
First round, voting intention
Our reading of this poll
Since the pollster’s previous wave (May 28, 2026), same lineup:
- Bardella 34% → 36% (+2 pts)
- Tondelier 4% → 2.5% (−1.5 pt)
- Attal 9% → 8% (−1 pt)
This poll tested 5 candidate line-ups
French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.
Line-up 1 · with Philippe, Glucksmann, Attal, Roussel, Tondelier
- Jordan Bardella36%
- Édouard Philippe14%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
- Raphaël Glucksmann9%
- Gabriel Attal8%
- Bruno Retailleau8%
- Éric Zemmour4%
- Fabien Roussel3%
- Marine Tondelier2.5%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud0.5%
Line-up 2 · with Attal, Glucksmann, Tondelier, Roussel
- Jordan Bardella37%
- Gabriel Attal15%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
- Raphaël Glucksmann11%
- Bruno Retailleau11%
- Éric Zemmour4.5%
- Marine Tondelier3.5%
- Fabien Roussel2.5%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud0.5%
Line-up 3 · with Philippe, Glucksmann, Tondelier, Roussel
- Jordan Bardella36%
- Édouard Philippe19%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
- Raphaël Glucksmann10%
- Bruno Retailleau9%
- Éric Zemmour4%
- Marine Tondelier3.5%
- Fabien Roussel3%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud0.5%
Line-up 4 · with Philippe, Glucksmann
- Jordan Bardella36%
- Édouard Philippe20%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
- Raphaël Glucksmann11%
- Bruno Retailleau11%
- Éric Zemmour4%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2.5%
- Nathalie Arthaud1.5%
Line-up 5 · with Philippe, Hollande
- Jordan Bardella37%
- Édouard Philippe21%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
- Bruno Retailleau10%
- François Hollande9%
- Éric Zemmour3.5%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
- Nathalie Arthaud1.5%
A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.
Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →