France · 2027 presidential poll
IFOP — April 18, 2024
First round, voting intention
Our reading of this poll
Since the pollster’s previous wave (February 1, 2024), same lineup:
- Faure 2% → 4.5% (+2.5 pts)
- Le Pen 36% → 34% (−2 pts)
- Philippe 22% → 24% (+2 pts)
This poll tested 10 candidate line-ups
French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.
Line-up 1 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Ruffin, Wauquiez, Faure, Tondelier, Lassalle, Dupont-Aignan
- Marine Le Pen35%
- Édouard Philippe26%
- François Ruffin7%
- Éric Zemmour6.5%
- Fabien Roussel5%
- Laurent Wauquiez5%
- Olivier Faure3.5%
- Marine Tondelier3%
- Jean Lassalle3%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2.5%
- Philippe Poutou2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1.5%
Line-up 2 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Mélenchon, Wauquiez, Faure, Dupont-Aignan, Tondelier, Lassalle
- Marine Le Pen34%
- Édouard Philippe24%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
- Laurent Wauquiez5%
- Éric Zemmour5%
- Fabien Roussel4.5%
- Olivier Faure4.5%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
- Marine Tondelier2%
- Jean Lassalle2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1.5%
- Philippe Poutou1.5%
Line-up 3 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Mélenchon, Bertrand, Faure, Tondelier, Lassalle, Dupont-Aignan
- Marine Le Pen33%
- Édouard Philippe24%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
- Xavier Bertrand6%
- Éric Zemmour6%
- Fabien Roussel5%
- Olivier Faure4%
- Marine Tondelier2.5%
- Jean Lassalle2%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1.5%
- Philippe Poutou1%
Line-up 4 · with Le Pen, Mélenchon, Le Maire, Wauquiez, Faure, Dupont-Aignan, Tondelier, Lassalle
- Marine Le Pen35%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
- Bruno Le Maire14%
- Laurent Wauquiez8%
- Éric Zemmour7%
- Fabien Roussel5%
- Olivier Faure4.5%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan3%
- Marine Tondelier2.5%
- Jean Lassalle2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1.5%
- Philippe Poutou1.5%
Line-up 5 · with Bardella, Attal, Mélenchon, Wauquiez, Faure, Lassalle, Dupont-Aignan, Tondelier
- Jordan Bardella30%
- Gabriel Attal22%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
- Éric Zemmour9%
- Laurent Wauquiez8%
- Fabien Roussel5%
- Olivier Faure3%
- Jean Lassalle2.5%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2.5%
- Philippe Poutou2%
- Marine Tondelier2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
Line-up 6 · with Le Pen, Attal, Mélenchon, Wauquiez, Faure, Tondelier, Lassalle, Dupont-Aignan
- Marine Le Pen35%
- Gabriel Attal20%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
- Laurent Wauquiez7%
- Éric Zemmour6%
- Fabien Roussel4%
- Olivier Faure4%
- Marine Tondelier3%
- Philippe Poutou2%
- Jean Lassalle2%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
Line-up 7 · with Le Pen, Mélenchon, Darmanin, Wauquiez, Faure, Tondelier, Lassalle, Dupont-Aignan
- Marine Le Pen36%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
- Gérald Darmanin12%
- Laurent Wauquiez8.5%
- Éric Zemmour6.5%
- Fabien Roussel6%
- Olivier Faure5.5%
- Marine Tondelier3%
- Nathalie Arthaud2%
- Jean Lassalle2%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Philippe Poutou1.5%
Line-up 8 · with Bardella, Philippe, Mélenchon, Wauquiez, Faure, Tondelier, Dupont-Aignan
- Jordan Bardella33%
- Édouard Philippe26%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
- Éric Zemmour7%
- Laurent Wauquiez5%
- Fabien Roussel4.5%
- Olivier Faure3%
- Marine Tondelier2%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1.5%
- Philippe Poutou0.5%
Line-up 9 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Mélenchon, Hollande, Wauquiez, Lassalle, Dupont-Aignan
- Marine Le Pen32%
- Édouard Philippe24%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%
- François Hollande8%
- Éric Zemmour6.5%
- Fabien Roussel5.5%
- Laurent Wauquiez5%
- Philippe Poutou2%
- Jean Lassalle2%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
Line-up 10 · with Philippe, Mélenchon, Glucksmann, de Villiers, Sébastien, Bayrou
- Édouard Philippe22%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
- Éric Zemmour8%
- Fabien Roussel5%
- Raphaël Glucksmann3%
- Philippe de Villiers2.5%
- Patrick Sébastien2.5%
- Philippe Poutou2%
- François Bayrou2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1%
A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.
Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →