France · 2027 presidential poll
IFOP — February 1, 2024
First round, voting intention
Our reading of this poll
Since the pollster’s previous wave (January 10, 2024), same lineup:
- Le Pen 33% → 36% (+3 pts)
- Philippe 25% → 22% (−3 pts)
- Roussel 6% → 4.5% (−1.5 pt)
Run-off match-ups tested
- null 36% — 64% null
- null 50% — 50% null
- null 49% — 51% null
This poll tested 3 candidate line-ups
French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.
Line-up 1 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Wauquiez, Lassalle, Tondelier, Dupont-Aignan, Faure
- Marine Le Pen36%
- Édouard Philippe22%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
- Éric Zemmour6%
- Fabien Roussel4.5%
- Laurent Wauquiez4.5%
- Jean Lassalle3%
- Marine Tondelier2.5%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2.5%
- Olivier Faure2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1.5%
- Philippe Poutou1.5%
Line-up 2 · with Le Pen, Attal, Wauquiez, Lassalle, Dupont-Aignan, Faure, Tondelier
- Marine Le Pen36%
- Gabriel Attal22%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
- Éric Zemmour6%
- Laurent Wauquiez5.5%
- Fabien Roussel4%
- Jean Lassalle3%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2.5%
- Olivier Faure2%
- Marine Tondelier2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1.5%
- Philippe Poutou1.5%
Line-up 3 · with Philippe, de Villiers, Sébastien, Glucksmann, Bayrou
- Édouard Philippe22%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
- Éric Zemmour5.5%
- Fabien Roussel4%
- Philippe de Villiers3%
- Patrick Sébastien2.5%
- Raphaël Glucksmann2%
- François Bayrou2%
- Nathalie Arthaud1.5%
- Philippe Poutou1.5%
A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.
Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →