France · 2027 presidential poll

Harris Interactive — July 8, 2024

Fieldwork
July 7, 2024 → July 8, 2024
Sample
2,496 respondents
Published
July 8, 2024
Pollster release
Pollster release →

First round, voting intention

  • Marine Le Pen 31%
  • Gabriel Attal 20%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 15%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann 14%
  • Laurent Wauquiez 5%
  • Éric Zemmour 4%
  • Fabien Roussel 3%
  • Marine Tondelier 3%
  • Philippe Poutou 2%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud 1%

This poll tested 5 candidate line-ups

French pollsters test several hypothetical fields in the same survey. Each one is shown below — the pollster’s own release rarely puts them side by side.

Line-up 1 · with Le Pen, Attal, Glucksmann, Wauquiez, Tondelier, Dupont-Aignan

  • Marine Le Pen31%
  • Gabriel Attal20%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann14%
  • Laurent Wauquiez5%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Philippe Poutou2%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 2 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Glucksmann, Wauquiez, Tondelier, Dupont-Aignan

  • Marine Le Pen31%
  • Édouard Philippe22%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann14%
  • Laurent Wauquiez5%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • Marine Tondelier3%
  • Éric Zemmour3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%
  • Philippe Poutou1%

Line-up 3 · with Le Pen, Attal, Faure, Wauquiez, Tondelier, Dupont-Aignan

  • Marine Le Pen32%
  • Gabriel Attal23%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon16%
  • Olivier Faure6%
  • Fabien Roussel5%
  • Laurent Wauquiez5%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Philippe Poutou2%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 4 · with Le Pen, Philippe, Faure, Wauquiez, Tondelier, Dupont-Aignan

  • Marine Le Pen32%
  • Édouard Philippe24%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon17%
  • Olivier Faure5%
  • Laurent Wauquiez5%
  • Fabien Roussel4%
  • Marine Tondelier4%
  • Éric Zemmour4%
  • Philippe Poutou2%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

Line-up 5 · with Philippe, Attal, Bayrou, Sébastien

  • Édouard Philippe20%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon15%
  • Gabriel Attal14%
  • Éric Zemmour5%
  • Fabien Roussel3%
  • François Bayrou3%
  • Philippe Poutou2%
  • Patrick Sébastien2%
  • Nathalie Arthaud1%

A single poll is one measurement with its own margin of error. Our model weights every published poll, corrects for house effects and projects the range of plausible outcomes.

Our weighted average and projection → All 2027 presidential polls →

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