Var — 7ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Var
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 35.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Var — 7ème circonscription | 52.7% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 8.8% |
| Provincial averageVar | 54.4%−1.8 | 16.7%+0.5 | 15.5%+0.8 | 8.3%+0.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+16.7 | 29.0%−11.8 | 17.0%−0.7 | 12.2%−3.4 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Frédéric BOCCALETTI · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 35.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frédéric BOCCALETTI Elected | RN and allies | 32,748 | 48.3 |
| Cécile MUSCHOTTI | Centre (Ensemble) | 12,567 | 18.5 |
| Claudie CARTEREAU | Left (NFP) | 12,166 | 17.9 |
| Sandra KUNTZ | LR and allies | 5,129 | 7.6 |
| Sébastien GIOIA | Centre (Ensemble) | 1,870 | 2.8 |
| Laurile KOSCIELSKI | Greens | 1,169 | 1.7 |
| Mathieu REHO | RN and allies | 887 | 1.3 |
| Marie-Eve PERRU | Greens | 819 | 1.2 |
| Patrice CIUTI | Far left | 381 | 0.6 |
| Christèle GUENIOT-DESMAZURES | Sovereignists | 71 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Var — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Var — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Var — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Var — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated