Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Bouches-du-Rhône — 6ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Bouches-du-Rhône

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 15.6 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 43.0%
  • Left (NFP) 27.5%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 20.2%
  • LR and allies 6.4%
  • Others 2.4%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
Bouches-du-Rhône — 6ème circonscription 43.0%27.5%20.2%6.4%
Provincial averageBouches-du-Rhône 44.0%−0.9 32.3%−4.8 14.1%+6.1 5.9%+0.5
National averageFrance 36.0%+7.1 29.0%−1.5 17.0%+3.2 12.2%−5.8

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Olivier FAYSSAT · RN and allies

Previous election (2024)

The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 15.6 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Olivier FAYSSAT Elected RN and allies 19,151 38.3
Christine JUSTE Left (NFP) 14,119 28.2
Lionel ROYER-PERREAUT Centre (Ensemble) 12,575 25.1
Serena ZOUAGHI LR and allies 2,231 4.5
Jeanne ASTOLFI RN and allies 862 1.7
Stéphanie BRUN LR and allies 348 0.7
Caroline COURONNE Greens 276 0.6
Corinne MOREL Far left 250 0.5
Sébastien PERETTI Others 217 0.4
Alain SLAMA RN and allies 4 0.0
Tess JANNONE Centre (Ensemble) 3 0.0
Sylvie GIOVANNINI Others 1 0.0

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated