Bouches-du-Rhône — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Bouches-du-Rhône
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bouches-du-Rhône — 3ème circonscription | 47.8% | 34.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% |
| Provincial averageBouches-du-Rhône | 44.0%+3.8 | 32.3%+2.7 | 5.9%+1.1 | 14.1%−7.4 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+11.8 | 29.0%+5.9 | 12.2%−5.3 | 17.0%−10.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Gisèle LELOUIS · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 12.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gisèle LELOUIS Elected | RN and allies | 19,938 | 42.8 |
| Amine KESSACI | Left (NFP) | 16,642 | 35.7 |
| Celine AYCARD-DIESTE | Centre (Ensemble) | 5,417 | 11.6 |
| Pierre-Olivier KOUBI-FLOTTE | LR and allies | 2,664 | 5.7 |
| Bernard FOURNIER | RN and allies | 937 | 2.0 |
| Jacqueline GRANDEL | Far left | 402 | 0.9 |
| Alexia DE MONTGOLFIER | Greens | 381 | 0.8 |
| Juliette COLEOU | Far left | 262 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated