Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Var — 6ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Var

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 30.9 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 55.3%
  • LR and allies 24.4%
  • Left (NFP) 15.5%
  • Others 4.1%
  • Far left 0.7%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies LR and allies Left (NFP) Others
Var — 6ème circonscription 55.3%24.4%15.5%4.1%
Provincial averageVar 54.4%+0.8 8.3%+16.0 16.7%−1.2 2.4%+1.6
National averageFrance 36.0%+19.3 12.2%+12.1 29.0%−13.5 3.9%+0.1

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Frank GILETTI · RN and allies

Previous election (2024)

The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 30.9 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Frank GILETTI Elected RN and allies 45,882 53.5
Fabrice ALBERT LR and allies 15,451 18.0
Sylvie VINCENEUX Left (NFP) 14,683 17.1
Frédéric HERBAUT LR and allies 5,527 6.5
Didier CADE Others 1,968 2.3
Sandra CAHOREAU RN and allies 1,508 1.8
Louis GUEYRARD Far left 726 0.9

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated