Bouches-du-Rhône — 10ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Bouches-du-Rhône
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 33.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bouches-du-Rhône — 10ème circonscription | 53.2% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 4.7% |
| Provincial averageBouches-du-Rhône | 44.0%+9.2 | 32.3%−12.2 | 14.1%+2.5 | 5.9%−1.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+17.2 | 29.0%−9.0 | 17.0%−0.4 | 12.2%−7.5 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
José GONZALEZ · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 33.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| José GONZALEZ Elected | RN and allies | 37,672 | 48.8 |
| Véronique BOURCET-GINER | Centre (Ensemble) | 16,619 | 21.5 |
| Jimmy BESSAIH | Left (NFP) | 16,050 | 20.8 |
| Stephan PIERRACCINI | LR and allies | 2,642 | 3.4 |
| Lucie DESBLANCS | Greens | 2,613 | 3.4 |
| Jean-Philippe COURTARO | RN and allies | 1,031 | 1.3 |
| Frédéric KECHRA | Far left | 314 | 0.4 |
| Hassan TAHIRI | Others | 208 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 14ème circonscription RN and allies, party favoured
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 11ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated