Eure — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Eure
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 27.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eure — 5ème circonscription | 48.0% | 20.4% | 19.3% | 8.3% |
| Provincial averageEure | 48.9%−0.9 | 22.0%−1.6 | 20.0%−0.7 | 5.6%+2.6 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+12.1 | 29.0%−8.6 | 17.0%+2.3 | 12.2%−4.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Timothée HOUSSIN · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 27.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Timothée HOUSSIN Elected | RN and allies | 26,603 | 45.3 |
| Frédéric DUCHÉ | Centre (Ensemble) | 14,333 | 24.4 |
| Pierre-Yves JOURDAIN | Left (NFP) | 12,506 | 21.3 |
| David DAVERTON | LR and allies | 3,233 | 5.5 |
| Christian MAZURE | LR and allies | 911 | 1.5 |
| Delphine BLITMAN | Far left | 671 | 1.1 |
| Ludovic BEAUJOUAN | Others | 517 | 0.9 |
| Colin PRÉVOTEAU DU CLARY | LR and allies | 2 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-Maritime — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Yvelines — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Yvelines — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Eure — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Maritime — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated