Yvelines — 9ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Yvelines
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yvelines — 9ème circonscription | 38.8% | 28.9% | 16.4% | 10.2% |
| Provincial averageYvelines | 26.9%+11.9 | 29.5%−0.6 | 26.0%−9.6 | 13.4%−3.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+2.8 | 29.0%−0.1 | 17.0%−0.6 | 12.2%−2.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Dieynaba DIOP · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 9.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laurent MORIN | RN and allies | 21,551 | 34.5 |
| Dieynaba DIOP Elected | Left (NFP) | 18,520 | 29.6 |
| Bruno MILLIENNE | Centre (Ensemble) | 13,340 | 21.4 |
| Hervé RIOU | LR and allies | 5,563 | 8.9 |
| Rachid ZEROUALI | Greens | 1,780 | 2.9 |
| Christophe LE HOT | RN and allies | 802 | 1.3 |
| Philippe GOMMARD | Far left | 601 | 1.0 |
| Sendil-Sébastien DJEARAMANE | Others | 336 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Yvelines — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Yvelines — 12ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Yvelines — 10ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Yvelines — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Yvelines — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated