Yvelines — 10ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Yvelines
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 75% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.0 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 45%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yvelines — 10ème circonscription | 32.6% | 28.6% | 25.1% | 10.0% |
| Provincial averageYvelines | 26.9%+5.7 | 26.0%+2.7 | 29.5%−4.5 | 13.4%−3.4 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−3.4 | 17.0%+11.6 | 29.0%−4.0 | 12.2%−2.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Aurore BERGÉ · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 4.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aurore BERGÉ Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 22,367 | 33.6 |
| Thomas DU CHALARD | RN and allies | 18,795 | 28.2 |
| Cédric BRIOLAIS | Left (NFP) | 14,918 | 22.4 |
| Gaël BARBOTIN | LR and allies | 5,797 | 8.7 |
| Julien GAUTRELET | Left (NFP) | 2,260 | 3.4 |
| Ethel FOURNIER-CAMPION | Greens | 1,141 | 1.7 |
| Olivier GOUSSEAU | RN and allies | 894 | 1.3 |
| Hélène JANISSET | Far left | 421 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Yvelines — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Yvelines — 12ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Yvelines — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Eure-et-Loir — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Yvelines — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Yvelines — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated