Yvelines — 11ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Yvelines
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 94% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 13%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | LR and allies | RN and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yvelines — 11ème circonscription | 40.4% | 28.9% | 25.4% | 4.0% |
| Provincial averageYvelines | 29.5%+10.9 | 13.4%+15.5 | 26.9%−1.5 | 2.6%+1.4 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+11.4 | 12.2%+16.7 | 36.0%−10.6 | 3.9%+0.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Laurent MAZAURY · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 11.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| William MARTINET | Left (NFP) | 20,395 | 43.4 |
| Laurent MAZAURY Elected | LR and allies | 13,752 | 29.3 |
| Victoria DOUCET | RN and allies | 10,243 | 21.8 |
| Sarah NICOS | Others | 1,048 | 2.2 |
| Nathalie MACHUCA | RN and allies | 900 | 1.9 |
| Patrick PLANQUE | Far left | 507 | 1.1 |
| Boris LUTZ | Sovereignists | 166 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Yvelines — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Yvelines — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Yvelines — 3ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Yvelines — 12ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Yvelines — 10ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Yvelines — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Forecast updated