Yvelines — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Yvelines
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 71% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.0 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 54%.
Compared with the average
| Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yvelines — 1ère circonscription | 28.4% | 27.4% | 23.7% | 17.4% |
| Provincial averageYvelines | 26.0%+2.5 | 29.5%−2.1 | 26.9%−3.1 | 13.4%+4.0 |
| National averageFrance | 17.0%+11.4 | 29.0%−1.6 | 36.0%−12.2 | 12.2%+5.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Charles RODWELL · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 1.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charles RODWELL Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 20,235 | 33.6 |
| Sébastien RAMAGE | Left (NFP) | 17,073 | 28.3 |
| Anne JACQMIN | RN and allies | 11,686 | 19.4 |
| Arnaud POULAIN | LR and allies | 9,783 | 16.2 |
| Sabine CLEMENT | RN and allies | 868 | 1.4 |
| Jean-Loup LEROUX | Far left | 523 | 0.9 |
| Guillaume CARLIER | Others | 147 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Yvelines — 3ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Yvelines — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Yvelines — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 8ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 7ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Yvelines — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Forecast updated