Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Hauts-de-Seine — 7ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Hauts-de-Seine

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 24.7 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Centre (Ensemble) 48.3%
  • RN and allies 23.6%
  • Left (NFP) 22.3%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Greens 2.0%
  • LR and allies 1.2%
  • Far left 0.6%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Centre (Ensemble) RN and allies Left (NFP) Others
Hauts-de-Seine — 7ème circonscription 48.3%23.6%22.3%2.0%
Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine 24.7%+23.5 19.2%+4.4 35.9%−13.6 2.1%−0.1
National averageFrance 17.0%+31.3 36.0%−12.4 29.0%−6.7 3.9%−1.9

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Pierre CAZENEUVE · Centre (Ensemble)

Previous election (2024)

The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 24.7 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Pierre CAZENEUVE Elected Centre (Ensemble) 34,053 53.2
Lucas PEYRET Left (NFP) 14,749 23.0
Christine PASTOR RN and allies 12,057 18.8
Charlotte RICHARD Greens 1,633 2.6
Rémi CARILLON RN and allies 1,083 1.7
Cécile ABAD Far left 431 0.7

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated