Paris — 14ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Paris
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 20.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris — 14ème circonscription | 43.3% | 22.6% | 18.8% | 13.1% |
| Provincial averageParis | 27.8%+15.5 | 15.0%+7.6 | 9.3%+9.5 | 44.5%−31.4 |
| National averageFrance | 17.0%+26.3 | 36.0%−13.4 | 12.2%+6.6 | 29.0%−15.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Benjamin HADDAD · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 20.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin HADDAD Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 26,351 | 47.7 |
| Patrick DRAY | LR and allies | 9,775 | 17.7 |
| Louis PIQUET | RN and allies | 9,702 | 17.6 |
| Hugo ROTA | Left (NFP) | 7,693 | 13.9 |
| Thomas CULERRIER | RN and allies | 1,177 | 2.1 |
| Eric MOLINARI | Centre (Ensemble) | 414 | 0.8 |
| Marie BOURDY | Far left | 123 | 0.2 |
| Sacha Élie ZAOUATI | Far left | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hauts-de-Seine — 9ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 10ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Paris — 13ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Paris — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Hauts-de-Seine — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated