Hauts-de-Seine — 6ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Hauts-de-Seine
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 97% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 5%.
Compared with the average
| Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hauts-de-Seine — 6ème circonscription | 35.0% | 22.9% | 21.0% | 18.4% |
| Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine | 24.7%+10.3 | 19.2%+3.7 | 16.9%+4.2 | 35.9%−17.5 |
| National averageFrance | 17.0%+18.0 | 36.0%−13.0 | 12.2%+8.8 | 29.0%−10.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Constance LE GRIP · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 12.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Constance LE GRIP Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 22,627 | 40.1 |
| Geoffroy DIDIER | LR and allies | 11,217 | 19.9 |
| Sihame MUSCIANISI | Left (NFP) | 10,857 | 19.3 |
| Alexis PANY | RN and allies | 9,512 | 16.9 |
| Jean MESSIHA | RN and allies | 1,776 | 3.2 |
| Françoise MARCEL | Far left | 352 | 0.6 |
| François-Xavier DEROCHE | Centre (Ensemble) | 25 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hauts-de-Seine — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Paris — 14ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Paris — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Hauts-de-Seine — 2ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 9ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Forecast updated