Hauts-de-Seine — 9ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Hauts-de-Seine
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hauts-de-Seine — 9ème circonscription | 41.9% | 20.5% | 18.7% | 16.5% |
| Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine | 24.7%+17.1 | 35.9%−15.4 | 19.2%−0.5 | 16.9%−0.4 |
| National averageFrance | 17.0%+24.9 | 29.0%−8.5 | 36.0%−17.3 | 12.2%+4.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Stéphane SÉJOURNÉ · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 21.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stéphane SÉJOURNÉ Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 21,593 | 46.1 |
| Pauline RAPILLY-FERNIOT | Left (NFP) | 10,024 | 21.4 |
| Virginie MATHOT | LR and allies | 7,108 | 15.2 |
| Julia CARRASCO | RN and allies | 6,528 | 13.9 |
| Joseph SAMOUN | RN and allies | 840 | 1.8 |
| Hazrije MUSTAFIC | Centre (Ensemble) | 459 | 1.0 |
| Anne-Laure CHAUDON | Far left | 225 | 0.5 |
| Thierry NARBONI | LR and allies | 92 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Paris — 14ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 10ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 8ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Paris — 13ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Hauts-de-Seine — 7ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Forecast updated