Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Hauts-de-Seine — 8ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Hauts-de-Seine

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 91% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.5 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 19%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Centre (Ensemble) 35.0%
  • Left (NFP) 31.5%
  • RN and allies 20.0%
  • LR and allies 11.0%
  • Others 2.1%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) RN and allies LR and allies
Hauts-de-Seine — 8ème circonscription 35.0%31.5%20.0%11.0%
Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine 24.7%+10.2 35.9%−4.5 19.2%+0.8 16.9%−5.9
National averageFrance 17.0%+18.0 29.0%+2.4 36.0%−16.0 12.2%−1.2

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Prisca THEVENOT · Centre (Ensemble)

Previous election (2024)

The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 3.5 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Prisca THEVENOT Elected Centre (Ensemble) 20,274 39.9
Salomé NICOLAS-CHAVANCE Left (NFP) 15,392 30.3
Delphine VEISSIERE RN and allies 7,979 15.7
Cécile RICHEZ LR and allies 4,959 9.8
Miron CUSA Left (NFP) 968 1.9
Adélaïde MOTTE RN and allies 626 1.2
Adam BRAHIMI-SEMPER Greens 350 0.7
Philippe HÉNIQUE Far left 196 0.4
Jean-Baptiste LAYLY Others 49 0.1

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated