Hauts-de-Seine — 12ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Hauts-de-Seine
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a 78% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.3 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 45%.
Compared with the average
| LR and allies | Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Greens | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hauts-de-Seine — 12ème circonscription | 38.8% | 36.5% | 20.4% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine | 16.9%+21.9 | 35.9%+0.5 | 19.2%+1.2 | 0.5%+1.4 |
| National averageFrance | 12.2%+26.5 | 29.0%+7.4 | 36.0%−15.6 | 0.4%+1.5 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jean-Didier BERGER · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 2.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Didier BERGER Elected | LR and allies | 26,790 | 39.4 |
| Lounes ADJROUD | Left (NFP) | 26,034 | 38.3 |
| Christophe VERSINI | RN and allies | 11,710 | 17.2 |
| Stéphane LEGRAND | Greens | 1,762 | 2.6 |
| Philippe HOUPLAIN | RN and allies | 736 | 1.1 |
| Guillaume CHINAN | Left (NFP) | 444 | 0.7 |
| Yann BERNARD | Far left | 444 | 0.7 |
| Assma BENHARKAT | Left (NFP) | 23 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hauts-de-Seine — 10ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 13ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Hauts-de-Seine — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 13ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Hauts-de-Seine — 9ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Paris — 14ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Forecast updated