Paris — 13ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Paris
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 60% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.5 points.
Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 81%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris — 13ème circonscription | 36.4% | 33.9% | 18.7% | 7.4% |
| Provincial averageParis | 44.5%−8.2 | 27.8%+6.1 | 15.0%+3.6 | 9.3%−2.0 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+7.3 | 17.0%+16.9 | 36.0%−17.3 | 12.2%−4.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
David AMIEL · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 2.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| David AMIEL Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 21,698 | 38.9 |
| Aminata NIAKATÉ | Left (NFP) | 20,722 | 37.1 |
| Sophie ROSTAN | RN and allies | 7,818 | 14.0 |
| Frédéric JACQUOT | LR and allies | 3,419 | 6.1 |
| Victor CHRZANOWSKI | RN and allies | 824 | 1.5 |
| Ingrid ALLORANT | Greens | 811 | 1.5 |
| Annie POUPON | Others | 234 | 0.4 |
| Corinne ROETHLISBERGER | Far left | 226 | 0.4 |
| Anne-Laure DELINOT | RN and allies | 85 | 0.2 |
| Corinne PAINE | Sovereignists | 7 | 0.0 |
| Francis SANDO | Sovereignists | 1 | 0.0 |
| Anne OUDIOU | Far left | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Paris — 12ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 10ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 14ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Paris — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Paris — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Forecast updated