Hauts-de-Seine — 10ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Hauts-de-Seine
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 90% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 21%.
Compared with the average
| Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hauts-de-Seine — 10ème circonscription | 38.7% | 34.9% | 17.5% | 6.3% |
| Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine | 24.7%+14.0 | 35.9%−1.0 | 19.2%−1.7 | 16.9%−10.6 |
| National averageFrance | 17.0%+21.7 | 29.0%+5.9 | 36.0%−18.5 | 12.2%−5.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Gabriel ATTAL · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 3.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel ATTAL Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 25,675 | 43.9 |
| Cécile SOUBELET | Left (NFP) | 20,806 | 35.5 |
| Sébastien LAYE | RN and allies | 7,732 | 13.2 |
| Clément PERRIN | LR and allies | 2,972 | 5.1 |
| Herlander FERREIRA DO AMARAL | RN and allies | 766 | 1.3 |
| Laurence VIGUIÉ | Far left | 315 | 0.5 |
| Béatrice GUILLEMET | Left (NFP) | 150 | 0.3 |
| Nicolas LEMESLE | Others | 109 | 0.2 |
| Esteban YGOUF | Left (NFP) | 28 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Paris — 13ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Hauts-de-Seine — 12ème circonscription LR and allies, competitive
- Hauts-de-Seine — 9ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Paris — 14ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 12ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Forecast updated