Hauts-de-Seine — 11ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Hauts-de-Seine
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 22.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hauts-de-Seine — 11ème circonscription | 50.1% | 27.3% | 17.5% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine | 35.9%+14.2 | 24.7%+2.5 | 19.2%−1.7 | 2.1%−0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+21.1 | 17.0%+10.2 | 36.0%−18.4 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Aurélien SAINTOUL · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 22.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aurélien SAINTOUL Elected | Left (NFP) | 25,031 | 50.1 |
| Laurianne ROSSI | Centre (Ensemble) | 15,036 | 30.1 |
| Juliette CHATELAIN | RN and allies | 6,737 | 13.5 |
| Eric ROUX | Centre (Ensemble) | 1,039 | 2.1 |
| Renaud COUZIN | Greens | 797 | 1.6 |
| Suzanne BACLET | RN and allies | 491 | 1.0 |
| Franck ROLLOT | Far left | 281 | 0.6 |
| Olivier GARDENT | Left (NFP) | 196 | 0.4 |
| Xavier CHIARELLI | Far left | 161 | 0.3 |
| Philippe PONGE | Left (NFP) | 154 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Paris — 13ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Paris — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 12ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Paris — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 10ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Forecast updated