Val-de-Marne — 11ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Val-de-Marne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 38.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Val-de-Marne — 11ème circonscription | 56.3% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 7.5% |
| Provincial averageVal-de-Marne | 44.0%+12.3 | 22.9%−4.6 | 16.3%−1.4 | 12.6%−5.2 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+27.3 | 36.0%−17.7 | 17.0%−2.1 | 12.2%−4.7 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Sophie TAILLÉ-POLIAN · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 38.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie TAILLÉ-POLIAN Elected | Left (NFP) | 24,447 | 57.4 |
| Nathalie PICOT | Centre (Ensemble) | 8,494 | 19.9 |
| Sylvie BOUCHOT | RN and allies | 6,093 | 14.3 |
| Cédric RIVET-SOW | LR and allies | 1,504 | 3.5 |
| Charles MARIAUD | LR and allies | 1,167 | 2.7 |
| Lydie COUSTY | RN and allies | 452 | 1.1 |
| Christine SAMSON | Far left | 319 | 0.8 |
| Sébastien SUGRANES | Far left | 146 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Paris — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Paris — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 9ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated