Val-de-Marne — 10ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Val-de-Marne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 39.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Greens | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Val-de-Marne — 10ème circonscription | 58.5% | 19.0% | 13.6% | 3.6% |
| Provincial averageVal-de-Marne | 44.0%+14.6 | 22.9%−3.9 | 16.3%−2.7 | 0.8%+2.8 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+29.5 | 36.0%−17.0 | 17.0%−3.4 | 0.4%+3.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Mathilde PANOT · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 39.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mathilde PANOT Elected | Left (NFP) | 25,536 | 59.3 |
| Shannon SEBAN | Centre (Ensemble) | 7,977 | 18.5 |
| Elise LIN | RN and allies | 6,408 | 14.9 |
| Coralie BARBERON | Greens | 1,788 | 4.2 |
| Christine LICHTENAUER | Far left | 491 | 1.1 |
| Charlotte SEVESTRE | RN and allies | 469 | 1.1 |
| Selma LABIB | Far left | 212 | 0.5 |
| Farid AÏSSAOUI | Others | 204 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Paris — 9ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 9ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated