Paris — 9ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Paris

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 31.9 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

	Left (NFP)	Centre (Ensemble)	RN and allies	LR and allies
Paris — 9ème circonscription	51.4%	19.6%	15.9%	9.4%
Provincial averageParis	44.5%+6.9	27.8%−8.2	15.0%+0.8	9.3%
National averageFrance	29.0%+22.4	17.0%+2.5	36.0%−20.1	12.2%−2.8

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Sandrine ROUSSEAU · Left (NFP)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 31.9 points.

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Sandrine ROUSSEAU Elected	Left (NFP)	26,020	52.1
Pegah MALEK-AHMADI	Centre (Ensemble)	11,550	23.1
Marie-Josée BOULAIRE	RN and allies	5,733	11.5
Jean-Baptiste OLIVIER	LR and allies	2,290	4.6
Elisabeth STIBBE	LR and allies	1,495	3.0
Jade FARRAN	Centre (Ensemble)	678	1.4
Marion BOTTOU	RN and allies	611	1.2
Julian ROZENBERG	Greens	565	1.1
Florence Jacqueline Chantal BEDAGUE	Far left	396	0.8
Sophie CHEN	LR and allies	269	0.5
Blandine CHAUVEL	Far left	251	0.5
Marc ELY	RN and allies	55	0.1

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.