Paris — 7ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Paris
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris — 7ème circonscription | 50.1% | 28.9% | 12.0% | 6.2% |
| Provincial averageParis | 44.5%+5.6 | 27.8%+1.1 | 15.0%−3.0 | 9.3%−3.1 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+21.1 | 17.0%+11.9 | 36.0%−23.9 | 12.2%−6.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Emmanuel GREGOIRE · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 21.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel GREGOIRE Elected | Left (NFP) | 30,974 | 50.9 |
| Clément BEAUNE | Centre (Ensemble) | 19,958 | 32.8 |
| Céline TACHER | RN and allies | 4,815 | 7.9 |
| Aurélien VÉRON | LR and allies | 3,010 | 4.9 |
| Jason REYES | RN and allies | 655 | 1.1 |
| Philippe MAZUEL | Centre (Ensemble) | 596 | 1.0 |
| Sophie LACAZE | Greens | 532 | 0.9 |
| Aurélia PETIT | Far left | 289 | 0.5 |
| Anne GRAU | Centre (Ensemble) | 65 | 0.1 |
| Stéphanie BLANC | Far left | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Paris — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 9ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 17ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 16ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Forecast updated