Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

FR ES
My races Subscribe

Paris — 17ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Paris

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 49.0 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 63.5%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 14.5%
  • RN and allies 13.0%
  • LR and allies 5.2%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 0.9%
  • Greens 0.8%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) RN and allies LR and allies
Paris — 17ème circonscription 63.5%14.5%13.0%5.2%
Provincial averageParis 44.5%+18.9 27.8%−13.3 15.0%−2.0 9.3%−4.1
National averageFrance 29.0%+34.5 17.0%−2.5 36.0%−22.9 12.2%−7.0

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Danièle OBONO · Left (NFP)

Previous election (2024)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 49.0 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Danièle OBONO Elected Left (NFP) 26,238 64.2
Kolia BÉNIÉ Centre (Ensemble) 7,012 17.2
Anne DE LA BRÉLIE RN and allies 3,666 9.0
Angélique MICHEL LR and allies 1,619 4.0
Mathias SAINT-ELLIER Centre (Ensemble) 744 1.8
Michel BOUCHOU Greens 578 1.4
Brigitte RUMEAU RN and allies 414 1.0
Abdellah AKSAS Far left 399 1.0
Victor FOURNIER Centre (Ensemble) 181 0.4
Clément ROUSSEAU Far left 0 0.0
Marie-Agnès VALLEE Sovereignists 0 0.0

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated