Paris — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Paris
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 27.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris — 5ème circonscription | 53.7% | 26.3% | 11.0% | 5.4% |
| Provincial averageParis | 44.5%+9.1 | 27.8%−1.5 | 15.0%−4.0 | 9.3%−3.9 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+24.7 | 17.0%+9.3 | 36.0%−25.0 | 12.2%−6.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Pouria AMIRSHAHI · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 27.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pouria AMIRSHAHI Elected | Left (NFP) | 32,152 | 54.2 |
| Rachel-Flore PARDO | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,879 | 30.2 |
| Céline CHEN | RN and allies | 4,186 | 7.1 |
| Valentine SERINO | LR and allies | 2,459 | 4.2 |
| Thiaba BRUNI | Greens | 674 | 1.1 |
| Yoneko KIKUCHI | RN and allies | 534 | 0.9 |
| Théo FAUCON | Centre (Ensemble) | 511 | 0.9 |
| Arnaud BOROWSKI | Greens | 367 | 0.6 |
| Monique DABAT | Far left | 271 | 0.5 |
| Raymond Victor BASSIL | Centre (Ensemble) | 133 | 0.2 |
| Anne CHAMAYOU | Left (NFP) | 114 | 0.2 |
| Léonard GUIOT | Far left | 1 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Paris — 17ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 16ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 18ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Forecast updated