Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Seine-Saint-Denis — 6ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Seine-Saint-Denis

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 52.8 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 67.2%
  • LR and allies 14.4%
  • RN and allies 13.9%
  • Far left 2.5%
  • Others 1.9%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Left (NFP) LR and allies RN and allies Far left
Seine-Saint-Denis — 6ème circonscription 67.2%14.4%13.9%2.5%
Provincial averageSeine-Saint-Denis 58.8%+8.5 11.9%+2.5 19.9%−6.0 1.7%+0.8
National averageFrance 29.0%+38.2 12.2%+2.2 36.0%−22.1 1.1%+1.5

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Bastien LACHAUD · Left (NFP)

Previous election (2024)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 52.8 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Bastien LACHAUD Elected Left (NFP) 25,777 71.7
Nathalie SACK LR and allies 5,014 13.9
Nacéra SALHAOUI RN and allies 4,175 11.6
Nathalie ARTHAUD Far left 996 2.8

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated