Val-de-Marne — 9ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Val-de-Marne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 34.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Val-de-Marne — 9ème circonscription | 57.4% | 22.4% | 9.8% | 5.3% |
| Provincial averageVal-de-Marne | 44.0%+13.4 | 22.9%−0.5 | 16.3%−6.5 | 12.6%−7.4 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+28.3 | 36.0%−13.6 | 17.0%−7.2 | 12.2%−7.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Isabelle SANTIAGO · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 34.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isabelle SANTIAGO Elected | Left (NFP) | 19,548 | 58.1 |
| Wenqi CUI | RN and allies | 6,083 | 18.1 |
| Noémie AMIROU | Centre (Ensemble) | 4,964 | 14.8 |
| Jérôme AUBERTIN | LR and allies | 1,353 | 4.0 |
| Christophe JAUBERT | Greens | 730 | 2.2 |
| Ambroise RAMASSAMY | RN and allies | 353 | 1.0 |
| Marie VIEIRA | Far left | 353 | 1.0 |
| Véronique DUCANDAS | Far left | 184 | 0.5 |
| Sophie ORTOLE | RN and allies | 82 | 0.2 |
| Luc CHEVALLIER | Far left | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Val-de-Marne — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 8ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Paris — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated