Val-de-Marne — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Val-de-Marne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 32.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Val-de-Marne — 2ème circonscription | 54.3% | 21.8% | 11.1% | 6.4% |
| Provincial averageVal-de-Marne | 44.0%+10.3 | 22.9%−1.1 | 16.3%−5.2 | 12.6%−6.2 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+25.2 | 36.0%−14.2 | 17.0%−5.9 | 12.2%−5.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Clémence GUETTÉ · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 32.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clémence GUETTÉ Elected | Left (NFP) | 22,494 | 55.0 |
| Antoine GHAYE | RN and allies | 7,153 | 17.5 |
| Mehmet CEYLAN | Centre (Ensemble) | 6,559 | 16.0 |
| Michel SASPORTAS | LR and allies | 2,103 | 5.1 |
| Patricia FOFFÉ | Greens | 1,236 | 3.0 |
| Sabrina PRUVOT | Far left | 546 | 1.3 |
| Gérard CRUZILLE | RN and allies | 514 | 1.3 |
| Manon HALLER | Far left | 291 | 0.7 |
| Clémence BOUTARIN | Far left | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Val-de-Marne — 9ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 8ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Val-de-Marne — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Essonne — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated