Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Essonne — 7ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Essonne

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.7 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 39.8%
  • RN and allies 29.2%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 25.0%
  • Others 3.3%
  • LR and allies 2.7%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Others
Essonne — 7ème circonscription 39.8%29.2%25.0%3.3%
Provincial averageEssonne 37.4%+2.4 28.2%+0.9 15.9%+9.0 5.8%−2.5
National averageFrance 29.0%+10.8 36.0%−6.8 17.0%+7.9 3.9%−0.7

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Claire LEJEUNE · Left (NFP)

Previous election (2024)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 10.7 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Claire LEJEUNE Elected Left (NFP) 19,012 40.8
Robin REDA Centre (Ensemble) 14,000 30.1
Audrey GUIBERT RN and allies 11,676 25.1
Olivier VAGNEUX LR and allies 694 1.5
Olivier VILLETTE Others 606 1.3
Didier CORMIER RN and allies 577 1.2

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated