Essonne — 10ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Essonne

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.3 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 2%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

	Left (NFP)	RN and allies	Centre (Ensemble)	LR and allies
Essonne — 10ème circonscription	42.3%	30.0%	14.0%	7.3%
Provincial averageEssonne	37.4%+4.9	28.2%+1.7	15.9%−2.0	7.3%
National averageFrance	29.0%+13.3	36.0%−6.0	17.0%−3.1	12.2%−4.9

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Antoine LÉAUMENT · Left (NFP)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 12.3 points.

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Antoine LÉAUMENT Elected	Left (NFP)	16,242	43.0
Michael AMAND	RN and allies	9,784	25.9
Alexandra MONET	Centre (Ensemble)	7,137	18.9
Nicolas DE BOISHUE	LR and allies	2,207	5.8
Thierry DENEUVE	Greens	694	1.8
Kamel KECER	Greens	622	1.6
Stéphanie HAMON	RN and allies	373	1.0
Monique LECLERC	Far left	317	0.8
Willy DECKEL	Others	257	0.7
Joël MANDO	LR and allies	70	0.2
Mihala KABAMA	Others	60	0.2

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.