Essonne — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Essonne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Others | RN and allies | Far left | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Essonne — 1ère circonscription | 43.2% | 28.5% | 25.4% | 1.2% |
| Provincial averageEssonne | 37.4%+5.8 | 5.8%+22.8 | 28.2%−2.8 | 0.8%+0.4 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+14.2 | 3.9%+24.6 | 36.0%−10.5 | 1.1%+0.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Farida AMRANI · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 14.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Farida AMRANI Elected | Left (NFP) | 19,109 | 46.1 |
| Stéphane BEAUDET | Others | 11,506 | 27.7 |
| Thiebauld VEGA | RN and allies | 9,264 | 22.3 |
| Jean CAMONIN | Far left | 565 | 1.4 |
| Hélène BERENGER | RN and allies | 539 | 1.3 |
| Baptiste GALAND | Greens | 405 | 1.0 |
| Gladys EYANG | Others | 87 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Essonne — 9ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Essonne — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Essonne — 8ème circonscription Sovereignists, toss-up
- Essonne — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated