Val-de-Marne — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Val-de-Marne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Val-de-Marne — 3ème circonscription | 41.2% | 31.6% | 21.9% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageVal-de-Marne | 44.0%−2.8 | 22.9%+8.7 | 16.3%+5.6 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+12.2 | 36.0%−4.4 | 17.0%+4.9 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Louis BOYARD · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 9.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louis BOYARD Elected | Left (NFP) | 19,290 | 42.2 |
| Arnaud BARBOTIN | RN and allies | 12,491 | 27.3 |
| Loïc SIGNOR | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,871 | 23.8 |
| Géraldine TELLE | Centre (Ensemble) | 870 | 1.9 |
| Lucien NOAILE | Far left | 651 | 1.4 |
| Frédérique PONCET | RN and allies | 650 | 1.4 |
| Noël AGOSSA | Centre (Ensemble) | 602 | 1.3 |
| Emmanuelly GOUGOUGNAN-ZADIGUE | Sovereignists | 315 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Essonne — 8ème circonscription Sovereignists, toss-up
- Val-de-Marne — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Val-de-Marne — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Val-de-Marne — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Val-de-Marne — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Essonne — 9ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated