Val-de-Marne — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Val-de-Marne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 66% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.5 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 67%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Val-de-Marne — 5ème circonscription | 36.3% | 34.9% | 24.7% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageVal-de-Marne | 44.0%−7.6 | 16.3%+18.6 | 22.9%+1.8 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+7.3 | 17.0%+17.8 | 36.0%−11.3 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Mathieu LEFEVRE · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 1.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mathieu LEFEVRE Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 23,416 | 38.5 |
| Julien LEGER | Left (NFP) | 22,657 | 37.3 |
| Isabelle HUGUENIN-RICHARD | RN and allies | 12,401 | 20.4 |
| Simone BENOUADAH | RN and allies | 853 | 1.4 |
| Catherine MOLINARI | Centre (Ensemble) | 717 | 1.2 |
| François JOSLIN | Far left | 563 | 0.9 |
| Maeva Sara ANGELE | Centre (Ensemble) | 179 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Val-de-Marne — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 8ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated