Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Val-de-Marne — 6ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Val-de-Marne

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a 95% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.5 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 10%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 39.9%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 32.4%
  • RN and allies 18.8%
  • LR and allies 5.1%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Greens 1.1%
  • Far left 0.7%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) RN and allies LR and allies
Val-de-Marne — 6ème circonscription 39.9%32.4%18.8%5.1%
Provincial averageVal-de-Marne 44.0%−4.1 16.3%+16.1 22.9%−4.1 12.6%−7.5
National averageFrance 29.0%+10.9 17.0%+15.4 36.0%−17.2 12.2%−7.1

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Guillaume GOUFFIER VALENTE · Centre (Ensemble)

Previous election (2024)

The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 7.5 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
May BOUHADA Left (NFP) 24,417 40.6
Guillaume GOUFFIER VALENTE Elected Centre (Ensemble) 22,464 37.4
Martina GABELICA RN and allies 8,347 13.9
Victor GAONACH LR and allies 2,325 3.9
Rémy LONGETTI RN and allies 1,099 1.8
Tony RENAULT Greens 979 1.6
Véronique HUNAUT Far left 290 0.5
Murielle MORAND Far left 176 0.3

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated