Seine-Saint-Denis — 9ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Seine-Saint-Denis
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 44.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seine-Saint-Denis — 9ème circonscription | 62.1% | 18.1% | 10.0% | 5.6% |
| Provincial averageSeine-Saint-Denis | 58.8%+3.3 | 19.9%−1.8 | 5.3%+4.8 | 11.9%−6.3 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+33.1 | 36.0%−17.9 | 17.0%−7.0 | 12.2%−6.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Aurélie TROUVÉ · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 44.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aurélie TROUVÉ Elected | Left (NFP) | 29,935 | 63.2 |
| Clara BOURASSIN | RN and allies | 7,156 | 15.1 |
| Manon CHAUMETTE | Centre (Ensemble) | 7,119 | 15.0 |
| Robenson PIERRE | LR and allies | 2,073 | 4.4 |
| Jean-Paul BUROT | Far left | 681 | 1.4 |
| Christel KEISER | Far left | 407 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 15ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated