Seine-Saint-Denis — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Seine-Saint-Denis
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 48.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | LR and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seine-Saint-Denis — 4ème circonscription | 67.6% | 19.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Provincial averageSeine-Saint-Denis | 58.8%+8.8 | 19.9%−0.4 | 11.9%−5.0 | 2.2%+1.0 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+38.6 | 36.0%−16.5 | 12.2%−5.4 | 3.9%−0.7 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Soumya BOUROUAHA · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 48.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Soumya BOUROUAHA Elected | Left (NFP) | 15,760 | 44.5 |
| Mohamed AWAD | Left (NFP) | 8,462 | 23.9 |
| Colette LÉVÊQUE | RN and allies | 5,839 | 16.5 |
| Hamza RABEHI | Centre (Ensemble) | 2,429 | 6.9 |
| Micaël VAZ | LR and allies | 1,982 | 5.6 |
| Marlène LEY | Far left | 344 | 1.0 |
| Amirdine FAROUK | Others | 335 | 1.0 |
| Sonia ATTIG | Left (NFP) | 105 | 0.3 |
| Omar MIRALI | Others | 102 | 0.3 |
| Matthieu BELIN | Far left | 25 | 0.1 |
| Virginie POTTIER | LR and allies | 16 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 9ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated