Val-d'Oise — 8ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Val-d'Oise
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 31.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | LR and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Val-d'Oise — 8ème circonscription | 55.3% | 23.4% | 18.1% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageVal-d'Oise | 39.7%+15.6 | 29.6%−6.2 | 10.4%+7.7 | 2.7%−0.8 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+26.3 | 36.0%−12.6 | 12.2%+5.9 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Carlos Martens BILONGO · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 31.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Martens BILONGO Elected | Left (NFP) | 17,386 | 58.3 |
| Thierry FOUCHEREAU | RN and allies | 5,840 | 19.6 |
| Ramzi ZINAOUI | LR and allies | 3,293 | 11.0 |
| Patrick ANGREVIER | LR and allies | 1,961 | 6.6 |
| Luisa VARELA | RN and allies | 503 | 1.7 |
| Malika KHERFI | Centre (Ensemble) | 451 | 1.5 |
| Rémi GAJDOS | Far left | 404 | 1.4 |
| Jean-Baptiste TONDU | Far left | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 9ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated