Seine-Saint-Denis — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Seine-Saint-Denis
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 56.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Far left | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seine-Saint-Denis — 2ème circonscription | 71.1% | 14.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Provincial averageSeine-Saint-Denis | 58.8%+12.3 | 19.9%−5.0 | 1.7%+3.4 | 11.9%−8.1 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+42.0 | 36.0%−21.1 | 1.1%+4.1 | 12.2%−8.4 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Stéphane PEU · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 56.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stéphane PEU Elected | Left (NFP) | 22,055 | 71.8 |
| Luc COLOMAS | RN and allies | 3,628 | 11.8 |
| Samantha UK | Centre (Ensemble) | 2,282 | 7.4 |
| Anasse KAZIB | Far left | 1,128 | 3.7 |
| Louis-Auxile MAILLARD | LR and allies | 798 | 2.6 |
| Agnès RENAUD | Far left | 491 | 1.6 |
| Maki Théa MARQUAND | Greens | 334 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 18ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 17ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated