Seine-Saint-Denis — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Seine-Saint-Denis
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 50.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seine-Saint-Denis — 1ère circonscription | 64.6% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 5.6% |
| Provincial averageSeine-Saint-Denis | 58.8%+5.8 | 19.9%−5.3 | 5.3%+4.6 | 11.9%−6.3 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+35.5 | 36.0%−21.4 | 17.0%−7.2 | 12.2%−6.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Éric COQUEREL · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 50.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Éric COQUEREL Elected | Left (NFP) | 27,298 | 65.3 |
| Jean-Pierre MONFILS | Centre (Ensemble) | 6,185 | 14.8 |
| Julien GRAZIOLI | RN and allies | 4,803 | 11.5 |
| François PEGUILLET | LR and allies | 1,208 | 2.9 |
| Gersende LE MAIRE | Greens | 878 | 2.1 |
| Nabil BOUARD | LR and allies | 618 | 1.5 |
| Alain AUBRY | Far left | 543 | 1.3 |
| Paul UHALDE | Far left | 204 | 0.5 |
| Emmanuel BILONGO MAMBWENI | Others | 62 | 0.2 |
| Gaëll FALISZ | Far left | 18 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 18ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 2ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Paris — 17ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated