Hauts-de-Seine — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Hauts-de-Seine
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 91% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 17%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hauts-de-Seine — 5ème circonscription | 35.6% | 26.9% | 18.4% | 15.5% |
| Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine | 35.9%−0.3 | 24.7%+2.2 | 19.2%−0.8 | 16.9%−1.4 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+6.6 | 17.0%+9.9 | 36.0%−17.6 | 12.2%+3.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Céline CALVEZ · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 8.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raphaël PITTI | Left (NFP) | 19,939 | 36.5 |
| Céline CALVEZ Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,255 | 31.6 |
| Amélie PINÇON | RN and allies | 7,869 | 14.4 |
| Sophie DESCHIENS | LR and allies | 6,935 | 12.7 |
| Hayat BAKHTI | LR and allies | 891 | 1.6 |
| Josette BOTET | RN and allies | 571 | 1.1 |
| Benjamin DEWHURST | Others | 542 | 1.0 |
| Mireille LAMBERT | Far left | 343 | 0.6 |
| Alexandra RIU | Centre (Ensemble) | 227 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hauts-de-Seine — 2ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Paris — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Paris — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Paris — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated