Hauts-de-Seine — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Hauts-de-Seine
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 46.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hauts-de-Seine — 1ère circonscription | 63.7% | 17.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine | 35.9%+27.8 | 19.2%−1.9 | 24.7%−16.2 | 16.9%−9.9 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+34.7 | 36.0%−18.7 | 17.0%−8.4 | 12.2%−5.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Elsa FAUCILLON · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 46.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elsa FAUCILLON Elected | Left (NFP) | 26,225 | 64.8 |
| Mariam CAMARA | RN and allies | 5,464 | 13.5 |
| Frédéric SARKIS | Centre (Ensemble) | 5,369 | 13.3 |
| Diane DE LONGUEVILLE | LR and allies | 1,752 | 4.3 |
| Nicolas FEGEANT | LR and allies | 596 | 1.5 |
| Zina BOUNAB | Far left | 368 | 0.9 |
| Marie-Laure DECAILLET | RN and allies | 346 | 0.9 |
| Armelle PERTUS | Far left | 218 | 0.5 |
| Marine MASSONNEAU | Centre (Ensemble) | 117 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hauts-de-Seine — 2ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Paris — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Forecast updated