Hauts-de-Seine — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Hauts-de-Seine
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a 95% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 10%.
Compared with the average
| LR and allies | Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hauts-de-Seine — 2ème circonscription | 42.2% | 38.2% | 17.0% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine | 16.9%+25.3 | 35.9%+2.3 | 19.2%−2.2 | 2.1%−0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 12.2%+30.0 | 29.0%+9.2 | 36.0%−18.9 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Thomas LAM · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 4.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas LAM Elected | LR and allies | 21,760 | 41.6 |
| Francesca PASQUINI | Left (NFP) | 20,683 | 39.5 |
| Anne-Caroline GALLIMARD | RN and allies | 6,817 | 13.0 |
| Sébastien PHAN | Centre (Ensemble) | 1,188 | 2.3 |
| Julia PETTITT | RN and allies | 637 | 1.2 |
| Ahmed LAKRAFI | Centre (Ensemble) | 564 | 1.1 |
| Julien PUERTAS | Far left | 360 | 0.7 |
| Louis DUROULLE | Centre (Ensemble) | 317 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hauts-de-Seine — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hauts-de-Seine — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Paris — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Hauts-de-Seine — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Paris — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated