Seine-Saint-Denis — 10ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Seine-Saint-Denis
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 29.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seine-Saint-Denis — 10ème circonscription | 51.6% | 22.2% | 18.8% | 3.2% |
| Provincial averageSeine-Saint-Denis | 58.8%−7.2 | 19.9%+2.3 | 11.9%+6.9 | 5.3%−2.0 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+22.5 | 36.0%−13.8 | 12.2%+6.5 | 17.0%−13.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Nadège ABOMANGOLI · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 29.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nadège ABOMANGOLI Elected | Left (NFP) | 21,282 | 52.6 |
| Monique TROVA | RN and allies | 7,409 | 18.3 |
| Alain RAMADIER | LR and allies | 7,129 | 17.6 |
| Martial MEYONGO AMOUGOU | Centre (Ensemble) | 3,321 | 8.2 |
| Gaëtan MINARDI | Far left | 563 | 1.4 |
| Praince Germain LOUBOTA | RN and allies | 381 | 0.9 |
| Ahmed EL OUAFI | Others | 291 | 0.7 |
| Amèle BENTAHAR | Others | 84 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 11ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 12ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 9ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated