Seine-Saint-Denis — 8ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Seine-Saint-Denis
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 18.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | LR and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seine-Saint-Denis — 8ème circonscription | 46.0% | 27.3% | 23.6% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageSeine-Saint-Denis | 58.8%−12.8 | 19.9%+7.4 | 11.9%+11.7 | 2.2%−0.3 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+17.0 | 36.0%−8.7 | 12.2%+11.3 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Fatiha KELOUA HACHI · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 18.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fatiha KELOUA HACHI Elected | Left (NFP) | 19,193 | 49.3 |
| Sébastien JOLIVET | RN and allies | 9,291 | 23.9 |
| Didier FORT | LR and allies | 5,350 | 13.7 |
| Franck YONBOUE | LR and allies | 3,844 | 9.9 |
| Sylvio VALENTE | RN and allies | 634 | 1.6 |
| Grégory TOBEILEM | Far left | 509 | 1.3 |
| Ntela BARDAI | RN and allies | 86 | 0.2 |
| Hélène DUPUY | Far left | 27 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 12ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-de-Marne — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 9ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated