Seine-Saint-Denis — 11ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Seine-Saint-Denis
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 39.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seine-Saint-Denis — 11ème circonscription | 61.6% | 21.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Provincial averageSeine-Saint-Denis | 58.8%+2.8 | 19.9%+1.9 | 11.9%−3.8 | 5.3%+0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+32.5 | 36.0%−14.2 | 12.2%−4.1 | 17.0%−11.5 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Clémentine AUTAIN · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 39.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clémentine AUTAIN Elected | Left (NFP) | 22,209 | 62.7 |
| Renée JOLY | RN and allies | 6,694 | 18.9 |
| Fayza BASINI | Centre (Ensemble) | 3,702 | 10.4 |
| Max MARAN | LR and allies | 1,658 | 4.7 |
| Kahina NÄIT-KACI | LR and allies | 801 | 2.3 |
| Charlotte SÉCHET | Far left | 388 | 1.1 |
| Lucien BELZANE | Far left | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 12ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Seine-Saint-Denis — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Val-d'Oise — 9ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Forecast updated