Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Seine-Saint-Denis — 7ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Seine-Saint-Denis

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 62.7 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 75.4%
  • RN and allies 12.7%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 6.0%
  • LR and allies 2.5%
  • Others 2.1%
  • Far left 1.2%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
Seine-Saint-Denis — 7ème circonscription 75.4%12.7%6.0%2.5%
Provincial averageSeine-Saint-Denis 58.8%+16.6 19.9%−7.2 5.3%+0.8 11.9%−9.4
National averageFrance 29.0%+46.4 36.0%−23.3 17.0%−11.0 12.2%−9.7

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Alexis CORBIÈRE · Left (NFP)

Previous election (2024)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 62.7 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Alexis CORBIÈRE Elected Left (NFP) 21,802 40.2
Sabrina ALI-BENALI Left (NFP) 19,740 36.4
Pauline BRETEAU Centre (Ensemble) 5,458 10.1
Françoise TROVA RN and allies 5,254 9.7
Antoine TOCHE LR and allies 713 1.3
Eric VERHAEGHE Centre (Ensemble) 518 1.0
Aurélie JOCHAUD Far left 344 0.6
Yannick DUTERTE Far left 180 0.3
Elsa CAUDRON Far left 165 0.3
Sebastien ATLANI Others 78 0.1

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated